Fall is officially underway in the Prince George area and the Central Interior.
Meteorologist Matt Loney said the seasonal forecast, which came out at the start of September is showing above normal temperatures, but near normal precipitation for central BC.
“We get bi-weekly updates in the forecast office since then that kind of give you five-week snapshots in one-week increments,” he explained.
“This week and next week is showing above normal for central parts of the province with near normal temperatures.”
Getting into mid and late-October, Loney said the picture he’s seeing is around normal temperatures and possibly above normal precipitation.
For the short-term, Loney said there’s a bit of uncertainty this week.
“There’s a fairly significant jet stream that’s pointed at the west coast with quite a bit of moisture, in fact some areas of the coast are experiencing what we call an atmospheric river,” he said.
“Some of that moisture is going to leak into the Interior, as we’re seeing today in the form of rain showers.”
Loney said some of the details on what’s going to happen this week are hard to pinpoint, because models have a “variable take on what’s going to shake out.”
“I would say mostly on the timing of each of the weather system that comes through,” he said.
“We’re seeing some models having some challenges picking up the timing, so we’ve got a warm front coming through today (Monday), an associated cold front that’s going to come through, it looks like, sometime tomorrow.”
Loney said the only “reliable” day this week looks like Wednesday, which will be followed by more weather systems.
“Depending on the model, the timing of the rain or rain showers that pass through is not very well resolved yet by the computer models, which is a little bit unusual, given that it’s somewhat close at hand,” he explained.
After an overcast day tomorrow and a mix of sun and cloud on Wednesday, Environment Canada is predicting more rain to last throughout the week and into the weekend.
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